Predicting Nobel Prize winners
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Thomson Reuters has a good track record in predicting Nobel Prize winners—and an Asia winner in the future is looking increasingly likely.Predicting a Nobel Prize winner is no mean feat. Thomson Reuters has been doing it for years with some significant success.
In 1965, Eugene Garfield, founder of ISI, was the first to discover that Nobel Prize winners are cited 30 times more than the average scientist, and they publish five times more than the average scientists. Since 2002, Thomson Reuters has used citation data to predict 15 winners for nine prizes.
In these two interviews with citation expert David Pendlebury, you can hear more about how we predict the prize winners. David also talks about the dynamic growth of scientific enterprise in Asia, and how the growing impact of this research makes it more likely that we will see prize winners from this region in the future.
See the interviews
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